Alone


Sean-Paul Kelley | San Antonio | October 13

The Agonist - So at last it seems we have come to that point in the life of one George W. Bush when everything 'W' has tried to do fails, and miserably at that. In the past he had Daddy's friends or connections in the oil business or the SEC or somewhere to come bail him out.

Today, however, he is alone. No one can solve his problems for him. We all sit, mute, and watch the disaster unfold in slow motion. And we all will be made to suffer for it.

Some may scoff at my words. So be it. But in the spirit of realism I offer you this as evidence, that we have indeed come to this place, today's Nelson Report, written by Chris Nelson, an uber-insider, Beltway player/observer, if ever there were one.

He writes:

Democrats have a hard time keeping up with the deconstruction of President Bush by his own radical conservative supporters, in the wake of the very mediocre Supreme Court nomination of his den mother, sorry, his personal lawyer from Texas, exponential disenchantment with Iraq, the frantic, feckless post-Katrina posturing, et al. But in today's International Herald Tribune, former Carter National Security Advisor and genuine Washington Wiseman Zbigniew Brzezinski contributes as thorough a demolition of Bush's foreign policy as we've seen to date...reprinted [in the post] below.

 

more after the jump

Nelson continued:

If politics were a football game, some might feel "Zbig" is guilty of hitting the quarterback after the play.  But politics is real life, and the rules of sportsmanship don't apply. When you win, people ascribe almost superman powers to you (remember the political genius of the century, Karl Rove?) but when you start to lose on a regular basis, suddenly you are the emperor without his clothes (as Bush was portrayed in a recent Washington Post editorial cartoon by Tom Toles).

There is a cumulative effect to being systematically "disrespected", as Bush might say, in his characteristically dyslectic syntax.  A critical, potentially fatal question now arises for political players in both parties, as also for foreign governments trying to plan their interaction with the US: is this man falling apart before our very eyes? If not physically and intellectually...and those questions are starting to be raised, see Dana Milbank in Wednesday's Washington Post, Oct. 12, pg. A-7...but politically?

One of the more revealing lines of Conservative attack against Bush's pick of the hapless Harriet Meirs for the Supreme Court is when we read senior establishment elite players like George Will or David Brooks or Bill Kristol or Charles Krauthammer laughing at the President's assertion that we should trust his judgment on how brilliant Ms. Miers really is. These former supporters sneeringly ask, in effect, "what the hell would Bush know about personal excellence!?"

This isn't just rude, it's devastating, given where it's coming from.  And we have three more years with Bush in the White House. The implications of such questions even being asked, much less answered in the affirmative, are obvious, and boil down to the risk of political anarchy at home, and increasingly disconnected foreign policy, as per Brzezinski's analysis, overseas.

So the specific question for today is, what are the leadership implications? Even assuming Bush's team can come up with serious, meaningful approaches to the Delphi bankruptcy as a signal of the coming collapse of the Capitalist social contract with Labor (and what do you think the odds are on that? What are YOUR bright ideas?) how can this White House expect to enforce political discipline on a Congress just three months away from an election year, when it's everyone for themselves under the best of circumstances, and when a majority of Republicans remain incredibly uncomfortable voting for something as basic as Trade Adjustment Assistance?

We start with this right here now domestic political and economic crisis not because it's been unfolding for a decade, in slow motion, but because the increasing domestic crisis feeds, irreversibly, foreign policy pressures, and domestic trade policy pressures, to which no one, since NAFTA, has come up with any viable amelioration.  Textile quotas to save the uneducated middle class? Twenty-seven percent tariffs on Chinese goods because we don't all want to end up working at Wal Mart, sans a living wage, sans any benefits, sans weekends off?

Delphi this week...and GM at some point, followed by its millions of suppliers and co-dependents. It's irreversible under the current system.

The industrial middle class of America has been under attack from globalization, and self-induced failures like no national health-care, for a generation. Even if some miracle set of programs arises from some latter day FDR and his New Deal (and remember, it was WW2 which ended the Great Depression here...think on that for a minute) it will take another generation to work out for the population as a whole. And that's if we're lucky and a real Marshall Plan for America can be developed....some way to provide Americans with a European-style "state subsidy" for the social benefits which stockholder-responsive private industry can no longer provide, at a profit, in the face of globalization.

The White House solution to date? Cut back on Medicaid and renege on pledges to Florida and the Gulf Coast for hurricane relief past and present.  Anyone think an election-year Congress will bite on Medicaid cuts as the Big Plan?

Moving to the on-going disaster in Iraq, as US casualties approach 2,000 and the bombings continue unabated, find someone you know with a security clearance and ask them what they really think is happening, and is about to happen?  What do you think the implications of this will be, across the board?  Read Zbig, below, for a quick listing of all the other foreign policy problems we aren't honestly confronting.

To be crass for a moment, does all of the above mean the Democrats have a good chance of taking-back control of the House and Senate next year? Does it look better and better for Hillary in `08?

Maybe, but if they can't come up with any good ideas, is there any reason we should care?  And for now, is it fair to be yelling at the Dems? The United States isn't a parliamentary democracy, we don't have a coherent Opposition, we don't have a Shadow Cabinet, and for Dems, we don't have a Newt Gingrich, with an over-arching philosophy, much less a plan!

Damn...we're going home for a drink...maybe Paul Krugman can come up with something....

If I were a drinking man I'd head home and have a double shot of tequila too.


Sean Paul Kelley October 13, 2005 - 5:58pm
( categories: News | USA: Domestic Issues )

This is something that is going to affect all of us.  The Dems better come out with something loud and clear and soon.  Mister Fetal Alcohol Syndrome is about to crash and burn.

If nothing else, fortunately, there are many Dems who, having been in the minority in Congress, and largely ignored, [mainly by people like Nelson] have been staying awake, paying attention and are NOT being caught off-guard.  The Progressive Democrats of America, The Black Congressional Caucus and others.

when they win back the Congress in 2006,[when a president has this low of a poll rating, NEVER has this NOT happened -the party out of power coming back, that is] if we last that long, real change might take place.

These guys have learned their lessons too, of not paying attention, and have mended their ways. Jus' most folks have not been informed....the corporate  MSM and press, ya know. Like the sucky NYT.

We all need to be doing our part, it's more important than ever for We The People to get to work.  If nothing else, i'm hopeful.

bernadene October 13, 2005 - 7:34pm

"If I were a drinking man I'd head home and have a double shot of tequila too."

You might get a sunrise out of it.

mauberly October 13, 2005 - 7:44pm

this mean: "Delphi bankruptcy as a signal of the coming collapse of the Capitalist social contract with Labor."

LJ October 13, 2005 - 8:28pm

As you say:

we all will be made to suffer for it.

I take no joy from watching his demise unfold, for we all will pay the price. I get the feeling that there will be those from among his supporters, who are many, perhaps a majority, that will blame those that got in the way and didn't believe hard enough.

Yep, it'll all be our fault.

If you had just prayed a little harder and believed a little more that mesquite been I planted would have produced apples.

Don October 14, 2005 - 8:28am

"We start with this right here now domestic political and economic crisis not because it's been unfolding for a decade, in slow motion, but because the increasing domestic crisis feeds, irreversibly, foreign policy pressures, and domestic trade policy pressures, to which no one, since NAFTA, has come up with any viable amelioration."

It would seem to me that Nelson is describing a collapse from within--the sorrows of empire.  Behind this statement is a view of the Iraq War as being driven by domestic economic and political crises.  Pushing this a little harder leads one to see Iraq as something of a desperate war initiated by a great power in decline, experiencing the sorrows of empire.

LJ October 14, 2005 - 8:48am

that Delphi might lay bare the fact that executive pay is responsible for much of, if not more of, American capitalism's failure, than high labor costs.

Or maybe it's some kind of crypto-commie code talk.

I dunno.

Sean Paul Kelley October 13, 2005 - 9:06pm

it cannot compete globally and pay a living wage.  Bankruptcy will allow Delphi, and eventually GM, Ford, and Chrysler-Daimler to escape their obligations for their employees pensions.  They will pay lower and lower wages until they can either compete or go chapter 13.  The unions will break and we will all be back to where we were during the first four decades of the 20th century.  

Joaquin October 14, 2005 - 12:28am

Capitalism has a "social contract" to keep with Labor [to give fair pay and benefits] as a way of being allowed to continue giving the majority of the benenfits of it's "labor" to owners and not the workers [socialism] and that contract is [and as we know has already been] collapsing. Delphi was a huge part of GM, right?  large labor users. ?

bernadene October 13, 2005 - 9:16pm

fact that Delphi's pension fund is likely underfunded by about a billion dollars.  Underfunding the pension plan may have staved off the inevitable slide into bankruptcy for a time but as these cases accumulate, the PBGC will eventually collapse.  Absent a federal bailout this will leave hundreds of thousands of pensioners high and dry.

Mark October 13, 2005 - 9:44pm

must be creaming in his jeans over this prospect.

LJ October 14, 2005 - 6:42am

...more, that mesquite bean...

Don October 14, 2005 - 8:31am

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